12/18/2025
“This is not a pretty picture. But in fact, it is deadly important.”
This is not a pretty picture. But in fact, it is deadly important.
AKHAL-TEKE POPULATION COLLAPSE - PART ONE
This graph, based on a detailed mathematical model, shows the trajectory of Akhal-Teke horses in North America, based on current actual breeding practices — without conservation breeding.
The importance of this graph for the Akhal-Teke breed in North America can hardly be overstated.
With only around 10 foals per year, and around 350 total Akhal-Tekes, the current “breeding intensity” comes to 15% — meaning that only 15% of potential mare breedings are even attempted.
This reality quantifies a natural phenomenon in the U.S. horse world: Most mares are kept as riding and companion horses, and not bred.
This is natural, because only a fraction of horse owners are horse breeders. Horse breeding is hard. Most people are not in a position to breed their horses, even if they wanted to.
But this phenomenon disguises the desperate predicament of the rare Akhal-Teke breed — because only the mares who are bred continue the breed. It’s not the total number of horses that determines the future of the breed. It’s only the fraction of horses actually getting bred who create the future.
And with a biological maximum of one foal per mare per year under perfect circumstances, there’s no magic wand to rapidly increase the Akhal-Teke population.
The conservation breeding program at the nonprofit national Akhal-Teke Center is one strong way to increase that critical breeding intensity, at least for the eligible mares among the growing herd in residence — building the next generation of Akhal-Tekes with community support — attending to both quality and diversity. Literally producing most of the foals born in the U.S. in 2025.
With your generous support, together we can fight to turn around this grim projection. Together, we can pull the legendary, endangered Akhal-Tekes back from the brink.
Help save the beloved Akhal-Tekes. Your donation of any amount is matched dollar for dollar through midnight on 12/31/2025:
https://akhaltekefoundation.networkforgood.com/projects/267130-end-of-year-2025