Foot's Forecast

Foot's Forecast Central Maryland weather intelligence by a collaborative team of experienced local forecasters.
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7:05 PM 8/27 - The severe thunderstorms from southern Washington County are now located along a line extending southward...
08/27/2026

7:05 PM 8/27 - The severe thunderstorms from southern Washington County are now located along a line extending southwards from the city of Frederick in central Frederick County. They are continuing to move eastwards rather slowly, around 25 MPH while producing wind gusts up to 60 MPH and hailstones up to 1” in diameter, similar in size to quarters. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING has been issued across southeastern Carroll, southeastern Frederick, western Howard, and north central Montgomery Counties until 7:45 PM. Cloud-to-ground lightning is also rather frequent within torrential downpours.
..Senior Forecaster Zach...

6:30 PM 8/27 - Thunderstorms in southern Washington County are continuing but slowly inching eastward into southwestern ...
08/27/2026

6:30 PM 8/27 - Thunderstorms in southern Washington County are continuing but slowly inching eastward into southwestern Frederick County as well. Across southwestern and south central Frederick County, a SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING has been issued until 7:00 PM. These storms continue to produce wind gusts in excess of 60 MPH and hailstones up to 1” in diameter, similar in size to quarters. If you find yourself being approached by these storms, seek shelter indoors immediately.
..Senior Forecaster Zach...

5:46 PM 8/27 - Nearly stationary severe thunderstorms are still hanging around over southern Washington County. A new SE...
08/27/2026

5:46 PM 8/27 - Nearly stationary severe thunderstorms are still hanging around over southern Washington County. A new SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING has been issued until 6:30 PM. These storms are continuing to produce wind gusts in excess of 60 MPH and hailstones up to 1” in diameter (quarter-sized). Flash flooding may develop.

4:50 PM 8/27 - At this time, isolated severe thunderstorm cells are popping up across the area. The first was located ov...
08/27/2026

4:50 PM 8/27 - At this time, isolated severe thunderstorm cells are popping up across the area. The first was located over southwestern Harford County. However, it has since weakened below severe limits. On the other hand, a cell currently located over Martinsburg in far western West Virginia and moving slowly eastwards around 10 MPH is currently producing wind gusts in excess of 60 MPH and hailstones up to 1” in diameter, similar in size to quarters. This has prompted the issuance of a SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING until 5:30 PM for south central Washington County including towns such as, but not limited to, Antietam, Keedysville, Sharpsburg, and Saint James.

…Senior Forecaster Zach…

2:51 PM 8/27 - This afternoon and evening, some slow-moving scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop within and p...
08/27/2026

2:51 PM 8/27 - This afternoon and evening, some slow-moving scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop within and pass through the region. Although isolated thunderstorms cells are expected much of the remainder of the day, the most likely time period for these storms will be between 6:00 PM and 10:00 PM. These storms will have the capability to produce damaging winds, large hailstones, extremely heavy rainfall, frequent cloud-to-ground lightning, and even a tornado or two. Due to the severe weather threats, the Storm Prediction Center of the National Weather Service expects that a severe weather-related watch is forthcoming.

The greatest chance for severe weather is anticipated across portions of the forecast area north of a line extending from Baltimore City to the city of Frederick in central Frederick County while remaining east of Hagerstown in northeastern Washington County. In these areas there is a 15% to 30% chance that a thunderstorm capable of producing wind gusts of at least 60 MPH and/or hailstones of at least 1” in diameter, similar in size to quarters, passes within 25 miles of a given location. In addition, these areas also have a 2% to 5% chance of seeing a tornado pass within 25 miles of a given location.

In locations outside of these areas, meaning they are south of the line extending from Baltimore City to the city of Frederick or west of Hagerstown, the chances for severe weather are a bit lower. The chances for a thunderstorm capable of producing hailstones of at least 1” in diameter given the same distance constraints are between 5% and 15%, with the chances of a tornado being reduced below 2%. However, these areas will see similar chances of experiencing a thunderstorm capable of producing wind gusts of at least 60 MPH.

In addition to the severe weather threats, there is also a notable flash flood threat. For most areas to the north of the District of Columbia and east of the city of Frederick, the Storm Prediction Center of the National Weather Service gives a 15% to 40% chance that rainfall totals exceed those necessary to prompt flash flooding within 25 miles of a given location. Outside of these areas, this chance is limited to between 5% and 15%.
..Senior Forecaster Zach...

12:08 AM 8/23 - At this time, a line of thunderstorms is moving through the area. There are three main portions of this ...
08/23/2026

12:08 AM 8/23 - At this time, a line of thunderstorms is moving through the area. There are three main portions of this line, each of which is producing differing conditions. The northern portion, spanning from northern Carroll County southwestward to central Montgomery County, is producing the heaviest rain across the area. These storms are moving northeastward and could prompt flash flooding throughout Carroll County. If a Flash Flood Warning is needed, it will be posted here as soon as possible.

A central portion of the line is found in an area spanning from southwestern Baltimore County south toward southern Prince George’s County. This is the least intense portion of the line and is mainly producing moderate stratiform rainfall. However, there are also some imbedded pockets of heavy rain.

Spanning southeastwards from southeastern Prince George’s County toward southeastern Saint Mary’s County is the final portion of the line. This is the most intense in terms of the associated conditions, with wind gusts reaching as high as 55 MPH. There have also been a few broad rotations that have developed, but none have seemed to tighten enough to become tornadic.

11:41 PM 8/22 - A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING has been issued for west central Calvert, northeastern Charles, southeaste...
08/23/2026

11:41 PM 8/22 - A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING has been issued for west central Calvert, northeastern Charles, southeastern Prince George’s, and northwestern Saint Mary’s Counties until 12:00 AM EDT! Thunderstorms moving into these areas are capable of producing wind gusts in excess of 60 MPH and hailstones up to ¾” in diameter, similar in size to pennies. These storms are currently located along a line extending from La Plata, to Golden Beach, to Leonardtown and moving northeastwards around 25 MPH. Seek shelter indoors immediately if you are located in areas such as directly surrounding Aquasco, Baden, Benedict, Brandywine, Bryantown, Charlotte Hall, Hughesville, La Plata, Prince Frederick, and Waldorf.

…Senior Forecaster Zach…

9:00 PM 8/22 - A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING has been issued for western Washington County until 9:30 PM EDT! Thundersto...
08/23/2026

9:00 PM 8/22 - A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING has been issued for western Washington County until 9:30 PM EDT! Thunderstorms moving into these areas are capable of producing wind gusts in excess of 60 MPH and hailstones up to ¾” in diameter, similar in size to pennies. These storms are currently located near Barnes Gap and moving northeastwards around 30 MPH. Seek shelter indoors immediately if you are located in areas such as directly surrounding Clear Spring, Hancock, and Wilson-Conococheague.

…Senior Forecaster Zach…

5:52 PM 8/22 - Late this evening and into the overnight hours, some scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are expecte...
08/22/2026

5:52 PM 8/22 - Late this evening and into the overnight hours, some scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are expected to move through the forecast area. For the most part, the most significant thunderstorm activity is anticipated to take place in locations west of the city of Frederick in central Frederick County, where the Storm Prediction Center of the National Weather Service has a marginal risk (Level: 1 of 5) posted. This risk predominantly results from a 5% to 15% chance that a thunderstorm capable of producing wind gusts in excess of 60 MPH passes within 25 miles of a given location.

In addition to this severe threat, a flash flood threat also exists across the entire forecast area. The Weather Prediction Center of the National Weather Service has the entire forecast posted under a marginal risk (Level: 1 of 4) of flash flooding. This indicates that rainfall totals will have a 5% to 15% chance of exceeding necessary level to prompt flash flooding. Cloud-to-ground lightning could also be frequent with these storms.

At this point in time, precipitation is clear of the forecast area but a couple strong to severe thunderstorms in central Allegany County and far eastern West Virginia are progressing their way eastward in the western extents of the forecast area in Washington County. However, rain is expected to hold off until at least 10:00 PM for a better majority of the forecast area.

…Senior Forecaster Zach…

5:00 PM 8/20 RADAR UPDATE - It appears as though we may have dodged the bullet with this one. Plenty of super cells have...
08/20/2026

5:00 PM 8/20 RADAR UPDATE - It appears as though we may have dodged the bullet with this one. Plenty of super cells have developed this afternoon and evening, but many appear to have had their significance limited below severe criteria. Locations found just to the northeast of the forecast area, in southeastern Pennsylvania, have not been as fortunate, where severe storms capable of producing wind gusts up to 80 MPH and tornadoes are ongoing. I am not yet comfortable with giving an all clear, with a line of storms currently entering into Anne Arundel and Prince George’s Counties having the chance to expand and intensify. A few very isolated storms behind the predominant batch of storms also cannot be ruled out. I will continue to keep and eye on the radar and will post if anything notable begins to develop.

…Senior Forecaster Zach…

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